Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb517…780b
crypto · 1318 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$339 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$339 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$339
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses917 / 401
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1318 / 1318
History coverage104d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$497
7 days−$483
14 days−$356
30 days−$267
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$12 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$9 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$13 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$34 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$19 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$8 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$37 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$9 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$18 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$319
other 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 221 -17.0% -24.9% 39% 38% -30.4%
≤30d 431 -4.0% -13.2% 48% 47% -17.1%
≤90d 580 -1.9% -11.2% 48% 47% -16.4%
all 1318 -2.4% -11.7% 70% 28% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 28% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 25% -20.1%
15% -27.9% 23% -27.8%
20% -35.0% 21% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records