Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T18:24:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb513…0b63 crypto 430 markets active 16h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
✗ bot/MM pace (245 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage! loses its big bets
Total PnL −$835 (-2%) realized −$835 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate58%249W / 181L
Whale WR38%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$85per market
Trades / day245.4pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$1,572
other 4% −$220
sports 1% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (245 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 -9.0% -17.7% 58% 33% -13.7%
≤30d 430 -9.0% -17.7% 58% 33% -13.7%
≤90d 430 -9.0% -17.7% 58% 33% -13.7%
all 430 -9.0% -17.7% 58% 33% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover245.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 33% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 21% -22.0%
15% -32.8% 13% -29.5%
20% -39.4% 9% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 38% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early -11% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$34 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$835
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses249 / 181
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)430 / 430
History coverage4d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day245.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 430 Trades
no open positions (62 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 23 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $9 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 22 $15 −$9 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 22 $15 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 22 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 22 $41 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 22 $29 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 22 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 22 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 22 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 22 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 22 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 22 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 22 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 22 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$2 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 22 $25 −$8 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 22 $22 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $28 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $7 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $12 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $11 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1316 history records