trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,005 | $1,005 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $65 | $65 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 23 | $998 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 23 | $977 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | May 14 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | May 14 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 14 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | May 03 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 03 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 03 | $866 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May | May 03 | $789 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 02 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? | May 02 | $803 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first r | May 02 | $802 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio | May 02 | $776 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 30 | $837 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 30 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local | Apr 30 | $765 | $0 | +0% |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | Apr 30 | $841 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 08 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 08 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Apr 07 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 03 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Apr 03 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 03 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Mar 30 | $111 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Mar 30 | $25 | $0 | -0% |