Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:14:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
B5 0xb506…a1d1 crypto 42 markets active 22h ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL +$9 (+6%) realized +$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip
Net edge-7%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate74%31W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day18.9pace
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$4
other 16% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +11.9% +1.2% 74% 45% -7.1%
≤30d 42 +11.9% +1.2% 74% 45% -7.1%
≤90d 42 +11.9% +1.2% 74% 45% -7.1%
all 42 +11.9% +1.2% 74% 45% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.2% 45% -7.1%
10% -8.5% 38% -16.0%
15% -17.3% 31% -24.1%
20% -25.4% 24% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +36% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses31 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day18.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 42 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +32%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +72%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$6 +145%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$7 +172%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$10 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$11 +251%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +27%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? Jun 15 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 15 $2 +$3 +128%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 21h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 25h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 25h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 25h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 26h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 26h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 26h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $4 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 27h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $16 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $6 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 84 history records