Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:29:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb506…e7b2 crypto 1029 markets active 0h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (125 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,746 (-10%) realized −$2,746 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate51%526W / 503L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day125.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 20d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$184
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (125 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 471 -55.4% -59.6% 24% 24% -55.4%
≤30d 1029 +1.0% -8.6% 51% 51% -10.1%
≤90d 1029 +1.0% -8.6% 51% 51% -10.1%
all 1029 +1.0% -8.6% 51% 51% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover125.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 51% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 51% -18.7%
15% -25.3% 51% -26.6%
20% -32.7% 51% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +45% → late -43% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$26 vs −$27 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,746
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses526 / 503
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1029 / 1029
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day125.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1029 Trades
no open positions (68 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $55 +$45 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $53 +$47 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $55 −$53 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 18 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $55 +$45 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $54 +$46 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $55 +$45 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $54 −$53 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $54 +$46 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $51 −$51 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 18 $53 +$47 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $53 −$52 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $9 +$8 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $53 +$47 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $55 +$45 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $53 +$47 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $53 +$47 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $53 +$47 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $53 +$47 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $53 +$47 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $55 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $54 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $54 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $31 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $54 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $54 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $55 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $27 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $55 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records