trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 60¢ | 58¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $4 | +$5 | +114% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$16 | +160% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$6 | -56% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | -24% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 20 | $2 | $0 | -20% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 20 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 20 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 20 | $2 | +$1 | +27% |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | -23% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $1 | +$2 | +197% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 19 | $6 | +$3 | +53% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16? | Apr 17 | $1 | +$2 | +216% |
| Will AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | Apr 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16? | Apr 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Apr 16 | $8 | +$2 | +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Apr 16 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Apr 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Apr 16 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +72.5% | +56.1% | 67% | 67% | +46.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +72.5% | +56.1% | 67% | 67% | +46.6% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +12.8% | +2.0% | 43% | 38% | +16.1% |
| all | 21 | +12.8% | +2.0% | 43% | 38% | +16.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.0% | 38% | +16.1% |
| 10% | -7.7% | 33% | +4.9% |
| 15% | -16.7% | 24% | -5.2% |
| 20% | -24.8% | 24% | -14.5% |