Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:58:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4e3…8c11
sports · 204 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
+$431 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$451 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$300
Realized+$451
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses88 / 115
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$303
Open positions1
Markets (closed)203 / 204
Avg bet$107
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$154
7 days−$180
14 days+$121
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Overtake 57¢ 100¢ $114 $200 +$86 (+75%)
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi Lan Mi 48¢ 40¢ $120 $100 −$20 (-17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $81 +$69 +85%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $78 +$72 +92%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $114 +$86 +75%
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Varvara Panshina Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto Jun 11 $230 +$220 +96%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Reymond/Sanchez vs Altmaier/Jebens Jun 11 $70 +$80 +114%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Tai Leonard Sach Jun 11 $346 −$346 -100%
ITF Monastir: Sana Garakani vs Meriem Ben Ezzedine Jun 10 $22 +$28 +129%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Carles Cordoba vs George Lazarov Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Ilkley: Alina Korneeva vs Celine Naef Jun 10 $49 −$49 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Ramazan Kaan Oktay vs Laurence Teunissen Jun 10 $206 −$206 -100%
ITF Maanshan: Uisung Park vs Shintaro Imai Jun 09 $269 −$269 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Riku Takahata vs Saki Tange Jun 09 $17 +$33 +188%
ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Varvara Panshina Jun 09 $24 −$24 -100%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Kira Pavlova Jun 09 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $37 +$13 +36%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 08 $98 −$48 -49%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Schnaitter/Wallner vs Paul/Shelton Jun 08 $408 +$28 +7%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Yeon Woo Ku Jun 08 $22 +$28 +124%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 08 $43 +$57 +134%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 08 $49 +$51 +103%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualif Jun 08 $45 −$45 -100%
Libema Open, Qualification: Robin Montgomery vs Joanna Garland Jun 08 $42 −$42 -100%
ITF Caserta: Federica Urgesi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 08 $83 −$83 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Ma Jun 08 $125 +$175 +140%
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Berta Passola Jun 07 $137 +$163 +119%
Libema Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Anouk Koevermans Jun 07 $41 −$41 -100%
ITF Wuning: Xinxin Yao vs Yufei Ren Jun 07 $23 +$27 +119%
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group C Jun 07 $219 +$6 +3%
ITF Harmon: Jake Delaney vs Youssef Kadiri Hassani Jun 07 $35 −$35 -100%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Helioevaara/Patten Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
ITF Monastir: Maria Oliver Sanchez vs Berta Passola Jun 07 $89 −$89 -100%
ITF Lakewood: Tatum Evans vs Kristina Penickova Jun 07 $99 +$101 +101%
ITF Bistrita: Stefan Horia Haita vs Robert Guna Jun 06 $175 −$175 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $21 +$29 +134%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $99 −$99 -100%
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Jun 06 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group B Jun 06 $70 −$70 -100%
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Group A Jun 05 $93 +$128 +138%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 05 $159 +$191 +121%
ITF Luan: Yaojie Zeng vs Tsung Hao Huang Jun 05 $224 −$224 -100%
ITF Harmon: Yusuke Kusuhara vs Youssef Kadiri Hassani Jun 05 $119 +$131 +109%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Louanne Djafari vs Eugenia Zozaya Menendez Jun 05 $9 −$9 -100%
ITF Luan: Kaigaoge Kang vs Hanyi Liu Jun 05 $158 −$158 -100%
ITF Luan: Yan Cheng Chen vs Yuichiro Inui Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
ITF Harmon: Geun Jun Kim vs Francis Casey Alcantara Jun 03 $77 −$77 -100%
ITF Wuning: Jiaqi Wang vs Jia-Jing Lu Jun 03 $12 −$12 -100%
ITF Caltanissetta: Giulio Perego vs Massimo Giunta Jun 03 $13 −$13 -100%
ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi Jun 03 $16 −$16 -100%
ITF Wuning: Wushuang Zheng vs Yuhan Wang Jun 03 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$431
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi BUY Lan Mi 48¢ $24 2h
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi BUY Lan Mi 48¢ $24 2h
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi BUY Lan Mi 48¢ $24 2h
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi BUY Lan Mi 48¢ $24 2h
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi BUY Lan Mi 48¢ $24 2h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara BUY Hikaru Sato 53¢ $26 6h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara BUY Hikaru Sato 51¢ $26 6h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara BUY Hikaru Sato 52¢ $26 6h
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Festina Lente 56¢ $28 7h
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Overtake 58¢ $29 7h
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Overtake 57¢ $28 7h
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Overtake 57¢ $28 7h
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Overtake 57¢ $28 7h
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Festina Lente 53¢ $26 7h
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Festina Lente 53¢ $26 7h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $26 31h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $26 31h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $26 31h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $26 31h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $26 31h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $26 31h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $26 31h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $26 31h
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Ayumi Miyamoto BUY Kayo Nishimura 51¢ $26 31h
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Varvara Panshina BUY Kyoka Okamura 53¢ $26 31h
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Tai Leonard Sach BUY Tai Leonard Sach 40¢ $20 2d
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Tai Leonard Sach BUY Tai Leonard Sach 40¢ $20 2d
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Tai Leonard Sach BUY Tai Leonard Sach 40¢ $20 2d
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Tai Leonard Sach BUY Tai Leonard Sach 40¢ $20 2d
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Tai Leonard Sach BUY Tai Leonard Sach 40¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +2.7% -7.1% 50% 45% -13.7%
≤30d 123 -21.3% -28.8% 35% 32% -9.4%
≤90d 203 -9.6% -18.2% 43% 40% -7.6%
all 203 -9.6% -18.2% 43% 40% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.2% 40% -7.6%
10% -26.1% 38% -16.5%
15% -33.2% 37% -24.5%
20% -39.8% 35% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $300.00 · official $300.00 (match) · 980 history records