trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 25% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $93 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 18 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 01 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 27 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | May 16 | $94 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 12 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 09 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 03 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 19 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 13 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 31 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 22 | $191 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 16 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 12 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 10 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 07 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 06 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 04 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 21 | $96 | $0 | +0% |