Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4d4…cf74
crypto · 485 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,764 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,759 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$1,759
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses298 / 186
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)484 / 485
History coverage134d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 484 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$136
7 days−$136
14 days−$136
30 days−$136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 48¢ 30¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Apr 15 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Apr 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Apr 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8AM ET Apr 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Apr 14 $80 +$34 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Apr 14 $70 +$18 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Apr 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Apr 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9AM ET Apr 14 $220 +$110 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Apr 14 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Apr 14 $180 +$40 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Apr 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Apr 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Apr 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7AM ET Apr 14 $110 +$115 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Apr 14 $50 +$47 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Apr 14 $100 +$57 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Apr 14 $50 +$19 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Apr 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Apr 14 $50 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Apr 14 $50 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Apr 14 $50 +$15 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Apr 13 $50 +$24 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Apr 13 $50 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Apr 13 $50 +$35 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Apr 05 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Apr 05 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Apr 05 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Apr 05 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Apr 05 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Apr 05 $120 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Apr 05 $50 +$21 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Apr 04 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Apr 04 $200 −$200 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,766
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $100 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $101 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -21.8% -29.2% 62% 44% -29.8%
≤30d 16 -21.8% -29.2% 62% 44% -29.8%
≤90d 243 -57.7% -61.7% 27% 24% -61.6%
all 484 -7.5% -16.3% 62% 54% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.3% 54% -13.3%
10% -24.3% 40% -21.6%
15% -31.6% 29% -29.2%
20% -38.3% 21% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.44 · official $13.01 · 1225 history records