Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:27:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4d0…a1c5
sports · 1448 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9,812 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,538 · open −$274
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$111
Realized−$9,538
Unrealized−$274
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses624 / 820
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$3,577
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1444 / 1448
History coverage105d
Avg bet$226
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 1444 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$828
7 days−$2,439
14 days−$3,361
30 days−$6,121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Francesco Forti 35¢ 34¢ $80 $78 −$2 (-3%)
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 21¢ 6¢ $102 $31 −$71 (-70%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Hapoel Holon BC 12¢ 0¢ $64 $3 −$61 (-96%)
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Mary Stoiana 50¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Spurs 50¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5) Shelton 43¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 52¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Zhang Zhizhen Zhang 23¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Ugo Humbert 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 39¢ 0¢ $339 $0 −$339 (-100%)
Saski Baskonia vs. Unicaja Unicaja 33¢ 0¢ $181 $0 −$181 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Felix Auger-Aliassime 40¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
AC Milan leading at halftime? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev Jodar 39¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridis Stefanos Sakellaridis 35¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Parry Parry 39¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 Yes 49¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Zverev Jong 43¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu Efes Anadolu Efes 51¢ 0¢ $661 $0 −$661 (-100%)
Gaston vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 21.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Prizmic vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Arsenal FC 56¢ 0¢ $415 $0 −$415 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5) Cerundolo 56¢ 0¢ $269 $0 −$269 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $307 +$173 +56%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $133 +$78 +59%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $224 +$298 +133%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $143 +$12 +9%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Set 1 Winner: Boulter vs Vekic Jun 13 $100 −$98 -99%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $17 −$17 -97%
Set Handicap: Samuel (-1.5) vs Sweeny (+1.5) Jun 13 $71 +$81 +114%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $61 +$211 +344%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $92 −$90 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $152 +$173 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $51 +$75 +147%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $152 −$150 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $137 −$135 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $71 +$59 +83%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $82 +$263 +322%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $163 −$20 -12%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $112 −$110 -98%
Balshaw vs. Tabur: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $122 −$120 -98%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $207 +$243 +117%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 11 $129 −$127 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-19.5) Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $42 −$41 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $61 +$62 +101%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $61 −$60 -98%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $112 −$110 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $142 +$55 +39%
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 10 $186 −$136 -73%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $112 +$15 +13%
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji Jun 10 $35 +$29 +81%
Hapoel Holon BC vs. Maccabi Tel-Aviv Jun 10 $64 −$63 -98%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $43 −$8 -18%
Mboko vs. Pliskova: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 10 $30 −$5 -15%
Mboko vs. Pliskova: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 10 $20 −$3 -14%
Set 1 Winner: Damm vs Minaur Jun 10 $22 −$22 -98%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $173 −$170 -98%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $151 −$148 -98%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $169 −$166 -98%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $97 −$81 -84%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $102 +$148 +145%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $99 −$97 -98%
Hapoel Jerusalem vs. Hapoel Tel-Aviv Jun 09 $76 −$75 -98%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 09 $126 −$49 -39%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $261 −$256 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Altmaier vs Tiafoe Jun 09 $41 −$40 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs McNally Jun 09 $286 +$130 +46%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $183 −$173 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$12,239
other 6% +$2,066
world 0% +$361
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 17¢ $5 52m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 90¢ $480 54m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Dino Prizmic 82¢ $104 54m
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 43¢ $20 55m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Dino Prizmic 83¢ $108 56m
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 20¢ $7 56m
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 24¢ $20 57m
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 21¢ $20 57m
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 20¢ $10 57m
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 21¢ $41 57m
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 52¢ $122 58m
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Francesco Forti 35¢ $82 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 100¢ $419 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 51¢ $133 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 99¢ $104 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel SELL Federico Cina 16¢ $30 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 46¢ $84 1h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 7¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 9¢ $31 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel SELL Federico Cina 67¢ $125 1h
Set 1 Winner: Boulter vs Vekic BUY Boulter 55¢ $100 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 11¢ $17 3h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 37¢ $143 3h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 62¢ $223 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 42¢ $224 3h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Mark Lajal 43¢ $31 12h
Set Handicap: Samuel (-1.5) vs Sweeny (+1.5) BUY Sweeny 46¢ $71 12h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 22¢ $61 12h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Mark Lajal 43¢ $61 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $326 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -27.9% -34.8% 33% 32% -27.7%
≤30d 457 -12.2% -20.6% 40% 39% -16.6%
≤90d 1394 -12.3% -20.7% 41% 41% -15.5%
all 1444 -9.2% -17.8% 43% 43% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 43% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 42% -20.5%
15% -32.9% 40% -28.2%
20% -39.5% 37% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $111.45 · official $130.88 · 3500 history records