Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4c2…a16e
sports · 891 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$2,539 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,678 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$977
Realized+$2,678
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses609 / 278
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$1,407
Open positions4
Markets (closed)887 / 891
History coverage55d
Avg bet$141
Trades / day61.3
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 887 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$80
7 days+$754
14 days+$165
30 days+$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $546 $529 −$17 (-3%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 88¢ 90¢ $180 $183 +$3 (+2%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 92¢ 92¢ $180 $179 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 76¢ 81¢ $80 $86 +$6 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner B8 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 72¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Aurora 82¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 62¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 73¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Heroic 70¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 57¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Sinners 56¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $381 −$129 -34%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $106 −$18 -17%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $55 −$29 -53%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $217 −$64 -29%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$11 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $66 −$26 -39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $101 −$41 -41%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$10 +26%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $111 +$30 +27%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$9 +30%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$18 +52%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $253 −$12 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $171 −$19 -11%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$13 +37%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$19 +61%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$20 +58%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $61 +$30 +49%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $101 +$29 +29%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $56 +$24 +43%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$14 +39%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $40 +$10 +26%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$23 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $121 +$30 +25%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $116 +$22 +19%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $292 +$25 +9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $151 −$66 -44%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $71 +$22 +31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $181 +$43 +24%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $60 +$14 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $41 +$20 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $40 +$21 +53%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $262 +$83 +32%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $40 +$24 +59%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $152 +$11 +7%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $60 +$17 +28%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $126 −$18 -14%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 −$39 -77%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $106 −$8 -8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $46 −$36 -80%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $46 +$33 +72%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $35 −$35 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $178 +$11 +6%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $76 +$19 +24%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $41 −$30 -74%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $101 +$33 +33%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $40 +$16 +40%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $61 +$29 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $71 +$15 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$3,120
other 3% −$441
crypto 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 44¢ $128 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 99¢ $78 15m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 88¢ $50 40m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 76¢ $81 40m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 89¢ $70 42m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 10¢ $11 43m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 82¢ $60 57m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 43¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 89¢ $150 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 36¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 34¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 35¢ $45 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 70¢ $111 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 22¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 75¢ $121 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 52¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 51¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 23¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $62 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 95¢ $125 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 71¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 28¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 50¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 70¢ $68 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 81¢ $124 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $80 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $35 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 +11.1% +0.5% 70% 61% -3.0%
≤30d 595 +5.1% -4.9% 68% 57% -9.4%
≤90d 887 +3.5% -6.4% 69% 55% -7.6%
all 887 +3.5% -6.4% 69% 55% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.4% 55% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.3% 39% -16.4%
15% -23.5% 25% -24.5%
20% -31.0% 13% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $976.58 · official $994.02 · 3500 history records