Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:07:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4b6…121b
crypto · 246 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$68
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses119 / 126
Open positions1
Markets (closed)245 / 246
History coverage6d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day125.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 245 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$68
14 days−$68
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$14 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$20 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$11 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$6 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$9 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$68
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 7m
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 245 -5.3% -14.3% 49% 46% -12.4%
≤30d 245 -5.3% -14.3% 49% 46% -12.4%
≤90d 245 -5.3% -14.3% 49% 46% -12.4%
all 245 -5.3% -14.3% 49% 46% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover125.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 46% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 41% -20.8%
15% -30.0% 39% -28.5%
20% -36.9% 36% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.79 · official $14.79 (match) · 959 history records