trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 28% | 28% | -18.3% |
| ≤30d | 29 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 28% | 28% | -18.3% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 28% | 28% | -18.3% |
| all | 29 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 28% | 28% | -18.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.2% | 28% | -18.3% |
| 10% | -32.3% | 28% | -26.1% |
| 15% | -38.9% | 24% | -33.2% |
| 20% | -44.9% | 17% | -39.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $50 | $79 | +$29 (+58%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | $59 | $72 | +$13 (+21%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 21¢ | $13 | $45 | +$32 (+247%) |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 20¢ | $23 | $42 | +$20 (+86%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $42 | $42 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 84¢ | 84¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $34 | $39 | +$4 (+13%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $39 | $32 | −$6 (-17%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $21 | $8 | −$13 (-62%) |
| Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $4 | −$6 (-57%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $205 | −$164 | -80% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $95 | −$9 | -9% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Germany leading at halftime? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $54 | +$31 | +56% |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $41 | −$6 | -15% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $217 | −$32 | -15% |
| Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$4 | -19% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $14 | +$10 | +69% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $136 | +$75 | +55% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $7 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $43 | −$1 | -3% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 19 | $6 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $17 | +$17 | +104% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $23 | +$7 | +32% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $8 | +$15 | +182% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $39 | +$15 | +39% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$5 | -9% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $12 | +$5 | +43% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | -10% |