Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:00:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4a3…25eb
crypto · 38 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses17 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage46d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 02 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 02 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 02 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 02 $1 +$1 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 02 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 02 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 02 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 02 $2 $0 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 01 $2 −$1 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET May 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Apr 30 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Apr 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Apr 30 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Apr 30 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Apr 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Apr 28 $2 +$3 +123%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Apr 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Apr 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Apr 28 $1 +$1 +118%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Apr 28 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Apr 28 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Apr 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Apr 28 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Apr 28 $7 +$2 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 41d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 41d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 41d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $7 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 42d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-22.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +18.0% +6.8% 67% 33% +3.8%
≤30d 3 +18.0% +6.8% 67% 33% +3.8%
≤90d 38 -14.5% -22.7% 45% 34% -18.0%
all 38 -14.5% -22.7% 45% 34% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.7% 34% -18.0%
10% -30.1% 29% -25.8%
15% -36.8% 24% -33.0%
20% -43.0% 24% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 94 history records