Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb498…85b9
crypto · 85 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12,799 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,737 · open −$62
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$966
Realized−$12,737
Unrealized−$62
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses49 / 170
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)219 / 85
History coverage1d
Avg bet$553
Trades / day3417.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 219 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,737
7 days−$12,737
14 days−$12,737
30 days−$12,737
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No 69¢ 96¢ $345 $482 +$136 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 42¢ 78¢ $189 $351 +$162 (+86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 68¢ 22¢ $333 $106 −$227 (-68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $28 +$28 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $226 −$226 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $145 −$145 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $190 −$190 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $193 −$193 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $127 −$127 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$890
other 1% +$136
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $56 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $79 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $33 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $50 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $56 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-64.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 219 -60.3% -64.1% 22% 15% -28.6%
≤30d 219 -60.3% -64.1% 22% 15% -28.6%
≤90d 219 -60.3% -64.1% 22% 15% -28.6%
all 219 -60.3% -64.1% 22% 15% -28.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3417.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -64.1% 15% -28.6%
10% ← realistic here -67.6% 7% -35.5%
15% -70.7% 3% -41.7%
20% -73.6% 0% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $965.81 · official $969.50 (match) · 3500 history records