Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb47f…3d37
crypto · 1265 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1216 / 49
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1265 / 1265
History coverage10d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day226.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$21
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1091 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 2% -10.3%
≤30d 1265 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 2% -10.4%
≤90d 1265 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 2% -10.4%
all 1265 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 2% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover226.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 2% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 1% -19.0%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.8%
20% -33.7% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records