Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb476…ddc2
crypto · 1064 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39 · open −$73
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized+$39
Unrealized−$73
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses549 / 510
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1059 / 1064
History coverage48d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day51.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 1059 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days−$104
14 days−$239
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $20 $47 +$27 (+136%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 83¢ $28 $33 +$6 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 30¢ 46¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+52%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$28 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$12 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$19 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +72%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $41 +$24 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$28 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$13 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$13 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$13 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$14 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +60%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $24 +$20 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 13 $32 −$32 -99%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 13 $30 −$30 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$55 +109%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$16 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$17 +88%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $23 +$59 +250%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $49 +$54 +109%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $24 +$33 +137%
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 +$14 +95%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$27 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$30
sports 11% −$112
other 2% +$89
weather 1% −$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 0m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Morocco 82¢ $38 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $16 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 53m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona SELL Barcelona 100¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 -11.1% -19.6% 47% 46% -13.3%
≤30d 740 +0.5% -9.1% 54% 51% -9.0%
≤90d 1059 +0.5% -9.1% 52% 48% -8.7%
all 1059 +0.5% -9.1% 52% 48% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 48% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 45% -17.5%
15% -25.7% 40% -25.4%
20% -33.0% 34% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $96.00 · official $99.08 · 3028 history records