Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:14:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb456…b14d
crypto · 203 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$47 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$53 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$510
Realized+$53
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses164 / 33
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)197 / 203
History coverage243d
Avg bet$339
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 6 History 197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$4
14 days+$5
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $430 $430 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 37¢ 23¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-37%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 56¢ 33¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-41%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 26¢ 12¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-52%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 12? Jun 13 $92 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 12? Jun 13 $172 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 11? Jun 13 $249 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 9? Jun 10 $474 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on June 6? Jun 07 $229 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on June 6? Jun 07 $280 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on June 3? Jun 04 $200 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on June 3? Jun 04 $296 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 31? Jun 01 $96 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 31? Jun 01 $101 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 31? Jun 01 $311 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 28? May 29 $124 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 28? May 29 $383 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 25? May 26 $202 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 25? May 26 $303 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 21? May 23 $505 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 18? May 19 $156 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 18? May 19 $305 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 15? May 16 $87 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 15? May 16 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 15? May 16 $304 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 11? May 13 $133 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 11? May 13 $370 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 8? May 09 $229 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 8? May 09 $273 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on April 30? May 06 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on April 30? May 06 $26 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on April 30? May 06 $455 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on April 27? Apr 28 $90 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on April 27? Apr 28 $120 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 27? Apr 28 $291 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 24? Apr 25 $498 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 21? Apr 22 $497 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 18? Apr 19 $496 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $150 in April? Apr 13 $419 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 12? Apr 13 $130 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on April 12? Apr 13 $160 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on April 12? Apr 13 $206 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on April 8? Apr 10 $207 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on April 8? Apr 10 $288 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 5? Apr 06 $494 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 1? Apr 03 $427 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on March 28? Mar 30 $308 $0 +0%
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14? Mar 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15? Mar 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18? Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-18? Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15? Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18? Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14? Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$88
other 0% −$27
sports 0% −$10
politics 0% −$7
world 0% +$3
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $51 1h
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $150 1h
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $280 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $249 3d
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $92 3d
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $172 3d
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 9? BUY No 99¢ $474 6d
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $280 9d
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $229 9d
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $200 12d
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $296 12d
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 31? BUY No 100¢ $96 15d
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 31? BUY No 100¢ $101 15d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 31? BUY No 100¢ $311 15d
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $230 18d
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $154 18d
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $124 18d
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 25? BUY No 100¢ $108 21d
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 25? BUY No 100¢ $95 21d
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 25? BUY No 100¢ $54 21d
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 25? BUY No 100¢ $100 21d
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 25? BUY No 100¢ $150 21d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $106 25d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $299 25d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $100 25d
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $205 28d
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $100 28d
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $156 28d
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 15? BUY No 100¢ $100 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 21 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 79 -39.1% -44.9% 61% 0% -10.2%
all 197 -1.8% -11.2% 83% 18% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 18% -9.5%
10% -19.7% 15% -18.1%
15% -27.4% 11% -26.0%
20% -34.5% 9% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $509.96 · official $509.96 (match) · 551 history records