trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 12% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $89 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 30 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 23 | $260 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | May 16 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 11 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 07 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 17 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 14 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 29 | $181 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 21 | $181 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 17 | $181 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 14 | $181 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 11 | $181 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 08 | $182 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Mar 04 | $182 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 09 | $182 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 06 | $182 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Feb 05 | $182 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 02 | $182 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 29 | $174 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $175 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Dec 31 | $177 | $0 | -0% |