Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:03:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb421…8856
sports · 1444 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$1,407 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,612 · open −$283
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,167
Realized+$4,612
Unrealized−$283
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses788 / 594
Est. fees paid−$1,026
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1382 / 1444
History coverage29d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day100.3
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 9 History 1382 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,160
7 days+$660
14 days+$2,637
30 days+$4,612
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 54¢ 100¢ $264 $485 +$221 (+84%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 52¢ 44¢ $559 $468 −$91 (-16%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage illwill 61¢ 100¢ $88 $144 +$56 (+63%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 42¢ 100¢ $16 $39 +$22 (+137%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 45¢ 57¢ $21 $27 +$6 (+28%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees No 80¢ 30¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-62%)
Petra Marcinko vs. Aoi Ito: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 54¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 37¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 33¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 49¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Riedi (-1.5) vs Herbert (+1.5) Riedi 54¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
ITF Sumter: Martina Okalova vs Sahaja Yamalapalli Sahaja Yamalapalli 83¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 36¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Kyrian Jacquet 40¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-30? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci 40¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Gen.G 34¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 51¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Carolin Raschdorf vs Denisa Zoldakova Carolin Raschdorf 10¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner BESTIA Academy 28¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) Mannarino 44¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Mao Mushika vs Kanon Sawashiro Kanon Sawashiro 35¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
First Blood in Game 1? Kiwoom DRX 43¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Oeiras 4: Billy Harris vs Petr Brunclik Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs ex-KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
ITF Andong: Woobin Shin vs Keisuke Saitoh Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Medvedev Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5) Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Svajda vs Rehberg Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs MIBR fe (+1.5) Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Mensik Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Calvin Hemery Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs Jun 14 $85 −$85 -100%
Baez vs. Baena: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $128 −$128 -100%
Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadelli Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Draxl vs Nava Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs Gauff Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockx Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Dzumhur (+1.5) Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Leagu Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kov Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5) Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $362 +$210 +58%
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp Jun 14 $179 −$176 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $266 +$69 +26%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 14 $0 +$1 +291%
Türkiye leading at halftime? Jun 14 $68 +$44 +65%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $89 −$88 -99%
Piratas de Quebradillas vs. Capitanes de Arecibo Jun 14 $23 +$21 +90%
Haiti leading at halftime? Jun 14 $89 +$20 +23%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $39 +$11 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$5,482
other 5% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 41¢ $90 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 61¢ $89 7m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 53¢ $1 8m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 62¢ $89 9m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 52¢ $89 13m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 41¢ $90 19m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 54¢ $68 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 42¢ $17 35m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 61¢ $89 53m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 45¢ $21 59m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $89 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $89 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $66 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL illwill 39¢ $176 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 40¢ $90 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 19¢ $45 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 18¢ $42 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 41¢ $29 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 36¢ $90 1h
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp BUY Sandro Kopp 23¢ $90 1h
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp BUY Sandro Kopp 66¢ $89 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 33¢ $90 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 51¢ $89 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $89 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 65¢ $89 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 26¢ $5 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 79¢ $52 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $90 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $88 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 77¢ $89 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 377 +0.1% -9.4% 55% 49% -7.2%
≤30d 1382 +5.7% -4.3% 57% 51% -4.0%
≤90d 1382 +5.7% -4.3% 57% 51% -4.0%
all 1382 +5.7% -4.3% 57% 51% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 51% -4.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 42% -13.2%
15% -21.8% 35% -21.6%
20% -29.5% 28% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,166.68 · official $1,166.68 (match) · 3500 history records