trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 65% | 65% | +18.7% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 65% | 65% | +18.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 65% | 65% | +18.7% |
| all | 32 | +6.0% | -4.1% | 59% | 56% | +6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.1% | 56% | +6.6% |
| 10% | -13.3% | 53% | -3.6% |
| 15% | -21.7% | 41% | -13.0% |
| 20% | -29.3% | 25% | -21.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 81¢ | 86¢ | $43 | $46 | +$3 (+6%) |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 40¢ | 42¢ | $31 | $32 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Over | 66¢ | 65¢ | $32 | $31 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Over | 70¢ | 69¢ | $31 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $4 | $3 | −$1 (-24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $24 | +$6 | +24% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $24 | +$9 | +39% |
| England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 17 | $22 | +$11 | +47% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 17 | $11 | +$4 | +35% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 17 | $43 | −$43 | -99% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 17 | $8 | +$3 | +39% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | +$7 | +138% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $6 | +$4 | +67% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 17 | $67 | +$20 | +30% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $70 | +$44 | +64% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | +$5 | +45% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $52 | +$89 | +171% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $60 | +$57 | +96% |
| Will Sweden win on 2025-11-15? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $29 | −$29 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $62 | +$53 | +85% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $21 | +$9 | +43% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +13% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14? | Nov 15 | $55 | −$31 | -56% |
| Will Austria win on 2025-11-15? | Nov 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2025-11-14? | Nov 14 | $10 | +$4 | +35% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14? | Nov 14 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Slovakia vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? | Nov 14 | $15 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Andorra win on 2025-11-13? | Nov 14 | $30 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13? | Nov 14 | $10 | +$22 | +223% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09? | Nov 13 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13? | Nov 13 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |