Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:39:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb417…d732
sports · 281 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$56 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses100 / 180
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)280 / 281
History coverage30d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day33.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 280 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$28
14 days−$42
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 51¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage OG 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 3DMAX 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs L1ga Team 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage INOX Division 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season OXEN 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage FlyQuest 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier Tundra Esports 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs 100 Thieves 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Spirit 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs SAW 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Boston Breach 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs The Bandits 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 NRG 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Heroic 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage KOLESIE 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri Jun 13 $7 $0 -4%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut Jun 12 $4 −$1 -25%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $6 −$2 -33%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $8 −$4 -43%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $8 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $5 $0 -9%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $2 −$1 -45%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $8 −$1 -11%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $9 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $2 −$1 -49%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $9 $0 -2%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $4 $0 +4%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playof Jun 10 $1 +$1 +87%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $2 −$1 -50%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 10 $2 −$2 -92%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 $0 +13%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $2 $0 -6%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $1 $0 -34%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu Jun 09 $2 $0 +21%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $1 $0 -48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $2 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $2 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 $0 +12%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $2 $0 +20%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $2 −$1 -49%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 09 $2 $0 -5%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $2 −$1 -53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri BUY Sadboys 51¢ $1 1h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri BUY Sadboys 51¢ $1 1h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri BUY Selva Esports 51¢ $1 1h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri BUY Selva Esports 51¢ $1 1h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri BUY Sadboys 51¢ $1 1h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri BUY Sadboys 51¢ $1 1h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri BUY Selva Esports 51¢ $1 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut SELL Los Angeles Thieves 83¢ $2 3h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut SELL Los Angeles Thieves 82¢ $2 3h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Boston Breach 51¢ $1 3h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 51¢ $1 3h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 51¢ $1 3h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Los Angeles Thieves 51¢ $1 3h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le SELL FaZe Vegas 3¢ $0 6h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le SELL Paris Gentle Mates 1¢ $0 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 25¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 54¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 53¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Ursa 80¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Ursa 80¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Leo Team 34¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 53¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Leo Team 50¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Leo Team 46¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 55¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Leo Team 47¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 55¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -17.7% -25.5% 42% 18% -20.2%
≤30d 278 -10.2% -18.7% 36% 23% -18.5%
≤90d 280 -9.9% -18.5% 36% 23% -18.2%
all 280 -9.9% -18.5% 36% 23% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 23% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 15% -26.0%
15% -33.4% 11% -33.1%
20% -39.9% 11% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.01 · official $1.01 (match) · 1092 history records