Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb3e7…b9d6
crypto · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$25 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses2 / 5
Open positions3
Markets (closed)7 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 3 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% −$25
other 42% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-45.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -39.7% -45.5% 29% 29% -33.9%
≤30d 7 -39.7% -45.5% 29% 29% -33.9%
≤90d 7 -39.7% -45.5% 29% 29% -33.9%
all 7 -39.7% -45.5% 29% 29% -33.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -45.5% 29% -33.9%
10% -50.7% 29% -40.2%
15% -55.5% 14% -46.0%
20% -59.8% 14% -51.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.65 · official $66.65 (match) · 19 history records