Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:58:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb3d8…4f9c
crypto · 1116 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$255 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$255 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$255
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses824 / 292
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1116 / 1116
History coverage34d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day64.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$20
14 days−$71
30 days−$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 06 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 05 $6 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 05 $6 −$6 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$252
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $4 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $3 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $3 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $4 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -11.9% -20.2% 69% 49% -21.2%
≤30d 977 +2.6% -7.1% 75% 60% -11.2%
≤90d 1116 +2.0% -7.7% 74% 58% -11.4%
all 1116 +2.0% -7.7% 74% 58% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 58% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 33% -19.9%
15% -24.6% 19% -27.6%
20% -32.0% 11% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2925 history records