Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb3b7…6d3b
crypto · 1401 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$554 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$554 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$554
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses724 / 676
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1400 / 1401
History coverage105d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$154
7 days−$118
14 days−$118
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 50¢ 60¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$554
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 538 -4.1% -13.2% 55% 54% -13.6%
≤30d 538 -4.1% -13.2% 55% 54% -13.6%
≤90d 1374 -5.1% -14.2% 52% 50% -17.8%
all 1400 -4.3% -13.4% 52% 50% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 50% -17.7%
10% -21.7% 48% -25.6%
15% -29.3% 42% -32.8%
20% -36.2% 35% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.97 · official $2.77 (match) · 3500 history records