Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb3ad…7e0d
crypto · 654 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,234 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,234 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$200
Realized−$1,234
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses563 / 93
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)656 / 654
History coverage14d
Avg bet$176
Trades / day214.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 656 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$256
7 days+$565
14 days−$1,234
30 days−$1,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $198 $200 +$2 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $496 $0 −$496 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $291 $0 −$291 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $201 $0 −$201 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $208 $0 −$208 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $406 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $592 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $491 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $136 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $208 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $194 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $198 +$2 +1%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $690 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $300 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $538 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $395 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $391 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $506 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $308 +$3 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $298 +$2 +1%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $192 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $576 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $295 +$5 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,567
sports 1% +$336
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $108 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $183 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $96 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $116 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $101 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $196 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 263 -2.4% -11.7% 92% 7% -8.7%
≤30d 656 -3.0% -12.2% 86% 12% -10.5%
≤90d 656 -3.0% -12.2% 86% 12% -10.5%
all 656 -3.0% -12.2% 86% 12% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover214.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 12% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 7% -19.1%
15% -28.3% 5% -26.9%
20% -35.3% 5% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $200.00 · official $200.00 (match) · 3500 history records