Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:59:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb3ac…1afd
crypto · 857 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$37 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$114
Realized−$32
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses766 / 88
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions7
Markets (closed)854 / 857
History coverage50d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day50.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 7 History 854 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days+$9
14 days+$18
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $39 $39 +$0 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Switzerland 99¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Brazil 96¢ 96¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 96¢ 96¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Under 98¢ 97¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 91¢ 21¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-77%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Coco Gauff 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Little Rock: Henry Searle vs Nicolas Mejia Henry Searle 65¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Score No 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Daniel Merida Aguila Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Jun 13 $40 +$2 +6%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $34 +$1 +2%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) Jun 13 $48 +$1 +1%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $45 +$4 +8%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $46 +$1 +3%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $48 −$2 -5%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $11 −$5 -46%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $12 +$4 +29%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $19 +$3 +15%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $43 +$3 +6%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $17 +$6 +36%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $13 +$3 +21%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $8 −$5 -63%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $65 $0 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $7 $0 +4%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $12 +$1 +5%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $40 +$1 +2%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) Jun 10 $20 +$1 +4%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $20 +$2 +10%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Tomas Martinez Jun 10 $4 $0 +0%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $30 −$2 -7%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $11 +$1 +11%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $28 +$4 +14%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $10 +$1 +5%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Matteo Martineau Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$9
sports 20% +$31
other 4% +$14
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Alycia Parks 18¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Alycia Parks 18¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Alycia Parks 18¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Alycia Parks 18¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Alycia Parks 20¢ $0 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 96¢ $15 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 91¢ $6 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Daniel Merida Aguila BUY Martin Damm 98¢ $2 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $2 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $5 5h
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 99¢ $10 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $7 10h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $15 10h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) BUY Seattle Storm 95¢ $30 11h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) BUY Seattle Storm 93¢ $10 11h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 99¢ $5 11h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 99¢ $5 12h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 98¢ $5 12h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 98¢ $3 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -4.0% -13.2% 85% 19% -9.0%
≤30d 203 -4.9% -14.0% 85% 19% -11.2%
≤90d 854 -1.5% -10.8% 90% 15% -9.8%
all 854 -1.5% -10.8% 90% 15% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 15% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 6% -18.4%
15% -27.2% 3% -26.3%
20% -34.3% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $114.21 · official $114.20 (match) · 3500 history records