Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:31:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb39c…0a8c
crypto · 931 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$388 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$388 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$388
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses385 / 546
Open positions0
Markets (closed)931 / 931
History coverage89d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day24.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 931 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$49
14 days−$92
30 days−$288
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$388
other 0% $0
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -21.2% -28.7% 48% 45% -25.9%
≤30d 578 -16.8% -24.7% 38% 33% -21.0%
≤90d 931 -14.7% -22.9% 41% 34% -19.4%
all 931 -14.7% -22.9% 41% 34% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 34% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.2% 27% -27.1%
15% -37.0% 22% -34.2%
20% -43.2% 16% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2768 history records