Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:17:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb399…9435
other · 178 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,487 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,458 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,458
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses98 / 79
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$355
Open positions1
Markets (closed)177 / 178
History coverage22d
Avg bet$487
Trades / day157.0
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit34%
Chart Positions 1 History 177 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$405
7 days+$1,018
14 days+$1,233
30 days+$1,458
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
FC Barcelona vs. OL Lyonnes: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 35¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28? No 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5 Over 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27? No 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-27? No 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: Both Teams to Score No 57¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-04? No 5¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? No 14¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Guatemala vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score No 69¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-01? No 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Under 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Iceland 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31? No 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 1.5 Over 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-26? No 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? No 6¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $5,159 −$82 -2%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $955 −$70 -7%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $6,935 +$140 +2%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $1,873 +$8 +0%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $102 +$44 +43%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2,190 +$201 +9%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $672 +$24 +4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7,157 −$457 -6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,841 +$5 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $760 +$5 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,928 −$14 -1%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $761 +$579 +76%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $237 +$20 +8%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $3,878 +$82 +2%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $131 +$21 +16%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,568 +$24 +2%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $567 +$84 +15%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3,578 +$68 +2%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 $0 +5%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $260 $0 -0%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 −$4 -41%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 10 $300 +$24 +8%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $0 $0 -97%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1,165 +$40 +4%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $260 +$2 +1%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1,266 +$20 +2%
Will France win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $504 −$25 -5%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $282 +$9 +3%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $14 +$1 +6%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $264 +$2 +1%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $261 +$6 +2%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $392 +$53 +14%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $73 +$21 +29%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $306 +$14 +5%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 09 $292 +$11 +4%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 09 $5 $0 -0%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1,434 +$28 +2%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $51 +$25 +48%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $449 +$57 +13%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $437 −$32 -7%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 08 $112 −$23 -20%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1,368 +$80 +6%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $3 −$2 -61%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $177 −$38 -21%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $4 $0 +12%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $5 $0 -7%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $125 +$15 +12%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $795 +$4 +0%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $159 +$48 +30%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 06 $7 −$4 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% +$1,039
sports 31% +$440
crypto 2% −$27
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 17¢ $0 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 17¢ $17 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 24¢ $25 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 22¢ $26 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 25¢ $13 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 25¢ $17 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 32¢ $77 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 34¢ $84 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 34¢ $89 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 36¢ $98 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 35¢ $87 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 39¢ $99 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 38¢ $0 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 38¢ $14 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 40¢ $12 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 40¢ $4 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 41¢ $20 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 40¢ $70 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 44¢ $0 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 44¢ $27 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 43¢ $71 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 44¢ $84 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Qatar 55¢ $4 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Qatar 56¢ $99 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 45¢ $89 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Qatar 54¢ $98 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Qatar 55¢ $99 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +8.7% -1.7% 70% 24% -7.6%
≤30d 177 +1.1% -8.5% 55% 19% -7.8%
≤90d 177 +1.1% -8.5% 55% 19% -7.8%
all 177 +1.1% -8.5% 55% 19% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover157.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 19% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 9% -16.6%
15% -25.3% 6% -24.7%
20% -32.6% 3% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.07 (match) · 3480 history records