Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb395…e2af
other · 4 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$5 +50%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 +$9 +431%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 30h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 39h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+67.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +85.0% +67.4% 50% 50% +35.0%
≤30d 4 +85.0% +67.4% 50% 50% +35.0%
≤90d 4 +85.0% +67.4% 50% 50% +35.0%
all 4 +85.0% +67.4% 50% 50% +35.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +67.4% 50% +35.0%
10% +51.4% 50% +22.1%
15% +36.8% 50% +10.3%
20% +23.3% 50% -0.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records