trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +74.4% | +57.8% | 100% | 67% | -1.9% |
| all | 27 | -10.4% | -19.0% | 44% | 37% | -4.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.0% | 37% | -4.5% |
| 10% | -26.7% | 37% | -13.6% |
| 15% | -33.8% | 37% | -22.0% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 37% | -29.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Austria? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $125 | $125 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 45¢ | 57¢ | $3 | $3 | +$1 (+27%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 21 | $124 | +$1 | +1% |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Ca | Apr 06 | $3 | +$6 | +168% |
| Senators vs. Rangers | Mar 30 | $8 | +$4 | +54% |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Knicks | Mar 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Stars | Feb 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Rangers | Feb 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Avalanche | Feb 05 | $2 | +$4 | +186% |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | Feb 01 | $7 | +$13 | +194% |
| Sharks vs. Red Wings | Jan 23 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Hornets vs. Jazz | Jan 10 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Sharks | Jan 03 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Jazz | Dec 30 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Pelicans | Dec 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Lightning | Dec 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Islanders | Dec 22 | $5 | +$7 | +133% |
| Panthers vs. Lightning | Dec 19 | $7 | +$10 | +133% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Dec 15 | $8 | +$5 | +64% |
| Pelicans vs. Nets | Dec 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Nets | Dec 06 | $4 | +$7 | +163% |
| Bucks vs. Knicks | Nov 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Nov 22 | $7 | +$5 | +67% |
| Ursula von der Leyen reelected as EU president? | Nov 12 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Biden say "Ear" during Lester Holt interview? | Jul 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will 50 Cent attend the RNC? | Jul 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Court temporarily allows Texas to arrest migrants? | Jul 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |