Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:23:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb37b…3345
sports · 45 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$281 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$285 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$208
Realized+$285
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses15 / 27
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions3
Markets (closed)42 / 45
History coverage5d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day12.9
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 3 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days+$285
14 days+$285
30 days+$285
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 78¢ 82¢ $198 $208 +$10 (+5%)
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-95%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner EDward Gaming 12¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 30¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$4 -21%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $102 +$127 +124%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $121 −$118 -98%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $10 +$6 +63%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$44 +431%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $102 +$55 +54%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $21 +$19 +94%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $31 +$211 +681%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$102 +497%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$39 +378%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $35 +$76 +220%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 +$105 +340%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $102 +$57 +56%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $103 +$226 +220%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $21 +$66 +320%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $20 +$15 +74%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $100 +$35 +35%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$386
other 16% −$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 16¢ $16 28m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 19¢ $21 29m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 99¢ $229 36m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 43¢ $102 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 40¢ $18 3h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 29¢ $103 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 99¢ $17 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 11¢ $10 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 59¢ $10 4h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 99¢ $55 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 8¢ $10 4h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 18¢ $10 5h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 7¢ $10 5h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 9¢ $21 5h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 40¢ $20 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 10¢ $21 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 5¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 8¢ $10 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 23¢ $10 10h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 99¢ $156 17h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 63¢ $102 18h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 25¢ $40 18h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $21 18h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 5¢ $10 24h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 11¢ $21 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $241 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 8¢ $10 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +23.0% +11.3% 36% 36% +6.3%
≤30d 42 +23.0% +11.3% 36% 36% +6.3%
≤90d 42 +23.0% +11.3% 36% 36% +6.3%
all 42 +23.0% +11.3% 36% 36% +6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.3% 36% +6.3%
10% +0.7% 36% -3.9%
15% -9.1% 33% -13.2%
20% -18.0% 33% -21.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $208.25 · official $208.25 (match) · 84 history records