Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:46:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B3 0xb373…2aa2 crypto 999 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (342 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$4,272 (+7%) realized +$4,276 · open −$4
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%984W / 12L
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$65per market
Trades / day341.9pace
Kalshi-fit65%portable
Net worth$119now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 74% +$347
other 26% +$132
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (342 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 952 +0.1% -9.5% 99% 0% -8.9%
≤30d 996 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 996 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -8.8%
all 996 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover341.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -17.6%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.5%
20% -33.2% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$36 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.11 per $1 lost it wins $2.11
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$119
Realized+$4,276
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses984 / 12
Open positions3
Markets (closed)996 / 999
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$65
Trades / day341.9
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit65%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 996 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $89 $90 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
HYPE Up or Down on June 15? Up 98¢ 74¢ $18 $14 −$4 (-24%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $121 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$5 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $89 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $46 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $74 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $27 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $61 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $113 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$2 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $118.68 · official $118.09 (match) · 3500 history records