trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 40% | 0% | -11.1% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 25% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 25% | 0% | -10.7% |
| all | 19 | -9.4% | -18.1% | 53% | 5% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.1% | 5% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -25.9% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -33.1% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -39.6% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | $27 | $27 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $12 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $16 | −$1 | -8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 09 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 09 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 08 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? | Jun 25 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -90% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April? | May 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Apr 05 | $6 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80000 on April 4? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31? | Apr 05 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| More Epstein files released in March? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April? | Mar 30 | $24 | $0 | +1% |