Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:02:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb367…bed0
crypto · 294 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$27 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses188 / 104
Open positions2
Markets (closed)292 / 294
History coverage150d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 292 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 63¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 56¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jan 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jan 31 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jan 31 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jan 31 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jan 31 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jan 31 $1 $0 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jan 31 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jan 31 $2 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jan 25 $9 −$3 -40%
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jan 25 $4 +$3 +65%
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jan 25 $14 −$2 -16%
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jan 25 $13 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jan 25 $7 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +4.4% -5.5% 76% 76% -8.0%
≤30d 37 +4.4% -5.5% 76% 76% -8.0%
≤90d 37 +4.4% -5.5% 76% 76% -8.0%
all 292 +0.4% -9.1% 64% 42% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 42% -11.9%
10% -17.8% 33% -20.3%
15% -25.8% 25% -28.0%
20% -33.0% 9% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.96 · official $1.78 (match) · 844 history records