Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T08:42:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
B3 0xb364…3646 crypto 1753 markets active 0h ago coverage 40d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 40d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$441 (+1%) realized +$441 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1744W / 9L
Drawdown46%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day43.5pace
Kalshi-fit69%portable
Net worth$7now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$54
14 days+$23
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 70% +$152
other 30% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 385 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 1005 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1753 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
all 1753 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$47 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$7
Realized+$441
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1744 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1753 / 1753
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$43
Trades / day43.5
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit69%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1753 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $45 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 18 $26 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$49 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 22m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 47m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.12 · official $7.12 (match) · 3500 history records