Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T20:23:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B3 0xb35d…9868 crypto 52 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$41 (+2%) realized +$41 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate81%42W / 10L
Drawdown84%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day70.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -0.2% -9.7% 81% 31% -7.2%
≤30d 52 -0.2% -9.7% 81% 31% -7.2%
≤90d 52 -0.2% -9.7% 81% 31% -7.2%
all 52 -0.2% -9.7% 81% 31% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 31% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 15% -16.1%
15% -26.2% 12% -24.2%
20% -33.5% 10% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$25 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.22 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses42 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage1d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day70.5
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 52 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 21 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 21 $47 +$16 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 21 $46 +$4 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $35 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 21 $61 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 21 $51 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 21 $63 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 21 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 21 $63 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 21 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 21 $62 +$4 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 21 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $39 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 21 $16 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 21 $56 +$5 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $51 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $61 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 21 $54 −$54 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $30 +$21 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 21 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $65 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 21 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 21 $51 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 21 $30 +$30 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 21 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 21 $46 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 21 $54 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 21 $46 +$6 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 21 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 21 $51 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 21 $52 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 21 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 21 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 21 $58 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 21 $62 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 20 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $57 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $63 +$3 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 20 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 20 $59 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 20 $49 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $36 +$17 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$35 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 20 $17 +$41 +233%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $64 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 20 $74 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $52 +$16 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $12 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $47 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $46 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $35 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $31 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $24 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $15 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $34 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $39 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $56 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 134 history records