Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T09:53:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B3 0xb344…0e61 crypto 601 markets active 0h ago coverage 57d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 56d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$310 (-4%) realized −$310 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate43%261W / 340L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day53.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$124
14 days−$124
30 days−$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$265
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -6.1% -15.0% 57% 49% -12.8%
≤30d 68 -6.1% -15.0% 57% 49% -12.8%
≤90d 601 -9.4% -18.0% 43% 34% -13.0%
all 601 -9.4% -18.0% 43% 34% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 34% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 28% -21.3%
15% -33.0% 22% -28.9%
20% -39.6% 18% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×1.09 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

57d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$310
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses261 / 340
Open positions0
Markets (closed)601 / 601
History coverage57d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day53.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 601 Trades
no open positions (193 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 23 $14 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 23 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 23 $22 +$27 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $56 −$17 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 23 $37 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $6 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 23 $67 −$30 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 23 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 23 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 23 $33 +$15 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 23 $44 +$34 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 23 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 23 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 23 $211 −$129 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 23 $53 +$21 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 23 $41 +$13 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 23 $44 +$34 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 23 $26 +$30 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $53 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 23 $78 −$24 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $28 +$54 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$15 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $33 +$14 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $34 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $45 −$10 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$15 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $49 −$49 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $62 −$12 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $47 +$13 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $61 −$46 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $44 +$16 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 18 $61 −$16 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $24 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 18 $41 +$19 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $35 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $148 −$78 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $97 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $110 +$15 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $14 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records