Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T16:02:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B3 0xb341…3f68 crypto 1796 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$78 (-2%) realized −$78 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate91%1701W / 166L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day73.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$156
14 days−$178
30 days−$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 722 -11.1% -19.6% 85% 2% -19.5%
≤30d 1867 -4.5% -13.6% 91% 3% -13.6%
≤90d 1867 -4.5% -13.6% 91% 3% -13.6%
all 1867 -4.5% -13.6% 91% 3% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 3% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 0% -21.9%
15% -29.4% 0% -29.4%
20% -36.4% 0% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1701 / 166
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1867 / 1796
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day73.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1867 Trades
no open positions (166 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records