Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T04:30:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B3 0xb32e…ffd5 crypto 1391 markets active 0h ago coverage 58d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 58d only
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$84 (-4%) realized −$84 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate37%521W / 870L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day59.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$9
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -8.6% -17.3% 33% 13% -14.9%
≤30d 619 -9.1% -17.7% 35% 18% -17.1%
≤90d 1391 -8.8% -17.5% 37% 20% -16.9%
all 1391 -8.8% -17.5% 37% 20% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 20% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 9% -24.8%
15% -32.6% 4% -32.1%
20% -39.2% 1% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.4 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

58d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses521 / 870
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1391 / 1391
History coverage58d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day59.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1391 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$1 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records