Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:37:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb31b…b140
other · 624 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,918 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,741 · open −$84
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$321
Realized−$2,741
Unrealized−$84
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses68 / 453
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions9
Markets (closed)521 / 624
History coverage20d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day153.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 9 History 521 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$615
7 days−$1,408
14 days−$2,261
30 days−$2,741
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will JD Vance attend the G7 Summit? No 97¢ 91¢ $104 $98 −$6 (-6%)
Will USA finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? No 77¢ 70¢ $92 $84 −$8 (-9%)
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 87¢ 47¢ $104 $56 −$48 (-46%)
Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title? No 91¢ 88¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-3%)
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 85¢ 53¢ $48 $30 −$18 (-38%)
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes 31¢ 27¢ $13 $12 −$2 (-13%)
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No 84¢ 88¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? No 95¢ 96¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-30%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 13 $55 −$1 -1%
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $166 +$1 +0%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? Jun 13 $39 −$11 -29%
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? Jun 13 $126 −$14 -11%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? Jun 13 $431 −$6 -1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 Jun 13 $122 −$2 -2%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Spread: Austria (-1.5) AND Will Scotland wi Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Jun 13 $276 −$30 -11%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will Paragua Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $0 $0 +15%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 13 $64 −$1 -1%
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primar Jun 13 $19 $0 -1%
Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA Jun 13 $95 −$18 -19%
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? Jun 13 $73 −$15 -21%
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian Jun 13 $121 −$9 -8%
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B? Jun 13 $249 −$22 -9%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on Jun 13 $61 −$5 -8%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13 Jun 12 $21 −$2 -12%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will United States win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $102 −$17 -17%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 Jun 12 $1 $0 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AN Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Jun 12 $8 +$2 +18%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States vs. Paraguay end Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Jun 12 $0 $0 +23%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AN Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 Jun 12 $11 +$3 +27%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND W Jun 12 $0 $0 +42%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Wil Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Jun 12 $1 $0 +85%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Wil Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-0 Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 Jun 12 $57 −$5 -10%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AN Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States Jun 12 $11 +$2 +22%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Bosnia and Herzego Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Bosnia and Herzego Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Qatar win on 2 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win o Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States Jun 12 $0 $0 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 33% −$1,490
politics 23% −$493
world 14% −$246
finance 12% −$160
tech 7% −$230
sports 6% −$140
crypto 3% −$42
economics 1% −$15
culture 1% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 5m
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY No 96¢ $52 5m
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 5m
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? SELL No 12¢ $7 14m
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $2 17m
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 29¢ $7 17m
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $1 17m
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $13 17m
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $5 17m
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $39 17m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Qatar vs. Switzerland BUY 4¢ $0 22m
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06- BUY 97¢ $2 34m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND BUY 49¢ $2 36m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND BUY 52¢ $2 36m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY 38¢ $1 50m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY 63¢ $2 50m
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? SELL Yes 64¢ $29 59m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL No 53¢ $58 1h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 33¢ $18 1h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY Yes 68¢ $68 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL No 53¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 24¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 78¢ $2 1h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? SELL No 21¢ $9 2h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? SELL No 23¢ $7 2h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? SELL No 25¢ $12 2h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 33¢ $40 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? A BUY 31¢ $1 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? A BUY 70¢ $2 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a BUY 86¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 +0.3% -9.2% 23% 11% -14.3%
≤30d 521 -5.4% -14.4% 13% 6% -14.2%
≤90d 521 -5.4% -14.4% 13% 6% -14.2%
all 521 -5.4% -14.4% 13% 6% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 6% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 4% -22.4%
15% -30.1% 2% -29.9%
20% -36.9% 1% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $321.38 · official $468.68 · 3500 history records