Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:38:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb315…d401
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$88 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$81
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses13 / 18
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)31 / 34
History coverage98d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A FURIA 39¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B PARIVISION 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Mar 23 $13 −$5 -39%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gr Mar 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Mar 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Mar 23 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Mar 23 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Mar 23 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Mar 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gro Mar 23 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Mar 07 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Mar 07 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Mar 07 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Mar 07 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Mar 07 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Mar 07 $4 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Mar 07 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Mar 07 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Mar 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Mar 07 $3 −$3 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$62
sports 29% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 22¢ $2 27m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 98¢ $11 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 42m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL B8 17¢ $1 46m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL B8 18¢ $1 46m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL B8 18¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 52m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 2¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-29.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +11.0% +0.4% 58% 50% -3.0%
≤30d 12 +11.0% +0.4% 58% 50% -3.0%
≤90d 21 -26.9% -33.8% 38% 33% -63.3%
all 31 -22.3% -29.7% 42% 39% -56.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.7% 39% -56.3%
10% -36.4% 35% -60.5%
15% -42.5% 32% -64.3%
20% -48.2% 32% -67.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.97 · official $2.70 (match) · 78 history records