Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:28:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb311…52d6
crypto · 1169 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$430 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$430 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$430
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses803 / 367
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1170 / 1169
History coverage80d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day18.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$48
14 days−$47
30 days−$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 75¢ 64¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 26¢ 36¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+40%)
XRP Up or Down - March 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - March 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$10 -139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$7 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$9 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$9 -138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 05 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$429
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +105.4% +85.8% 58% 52% -24.7%
≤30d 465 +10.6% +0.1% 76% 16% -14.4%
≤90d 1170 +1.3% -8.4% 69% 39% -14.9%
all 1170 +1.3% -8.4% 69% 39% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 39% -14.9%
10% -17.2% 30% -23.0%
15% -25.2% 24% -30.5%
20% -32.5% 17% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.13 · official $6.65 · 3500 history records