Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:25:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb311…a72d
sports · 160 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$544 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$596 · open +$53
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$102
Realized−$596
Unrealized+$53
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses68 / 89
Est. fees paid−$52
Open positions3
Markets (closed)157 / 160
History coverage105d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 157 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days−$95
14 days−$115
30 days−$315
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 17¢ 100¢ $15 $87 +$72 (+480%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Spurs 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Astralis 29¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Lakers (-11.5) Bulls 54¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 37¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Lakers 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 28¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 33¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Legacy 59¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Barça eSports 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 27¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner FaZe 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs FUT Esports 45¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winner NIP 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner MIBR 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 40¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 31¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner UCAM Esports Club 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A HMBLE 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 +$25 +124%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $41 −$29 -72%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$12 +59%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$17 +55%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 12 $8 −$3 -39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$22 +108%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$14 +70%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$16 +105%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3 +$25 +796%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 11 $20 +$23 +114%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$13 +64%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$19 +95%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $34 +$28 +83%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$21 +70%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $20 +$16 +79%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $20 +$14 +67%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $20 +$14 +67%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$20 +97%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $20 −$19 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $80 −$78 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $23 −$22 -98%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) May 17 $81 −$80 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner May 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 11 $413 −$159 -39%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 11 $130 +$62 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$579
crypto 1% +$39
other 0% $0
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 17¢ $15 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 57¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 42¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 31¢ $14 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $14 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 38¢ $25 11h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 25¢ $20 11h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 40¢ $20 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $20 26h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 36¢ $20 28h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $20 31h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $32 31h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 31¢ $11 31h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $20 32h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 58¢ $20 32h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ $20 33h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 35¢ $10 34h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $30 35h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $15 39h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? SELL Yes 40¢ $5 41h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? BUY Yes 64¢ $8 42h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 30¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 5¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $15 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 18¢ $7 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -14.2% -22.4% 37% 37% -20.8%
≤30d 48 -22.6% -30.0% 33% 33% -38.8%
≤90d 84 -15.8% -23.8% 40% 40% -18.9%
all 157 -8.4% -17.1% 43% 43% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 43% -17.0%
10% -25.0% 43% -24.9%
15% -32.3% 41% -32.2%
20% -38.9% 30% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $101.95 · official $101.95 (match) · 252 history records