Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:56:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb30f…e941
crypto · 62 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$9 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses40 / 21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)61 / 62
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$9
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +5.1% -4.9% 66% 61% -6.2%
≤30d 61 +5.1% -4.9% 66% 61% -6.2%
≤90d 61 +5.1% -4.9% 66% 61% -6.2%
all 61 +5.1% -4.9% 66% 61% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 61% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 52% -15.2%
15% -22.3% 41% -23.4%
20% -29.9% 33% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.96 · official $2.96 (match) · 152 history records