Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb305…ca4e
crypto · 232 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
−$61,700 -87%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61,229 · open −$471
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,261
Realized−$61,229
Unrealized−$471
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses131 / 535
Whale WR (big bets)35%
Est. fees paid−$95
Open positions6
Markets (closed)666 / 232
History coverage7d
Avg bet$305
Trades / day470.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 666 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$66,410
7 days−$61,914
14 days−$61,229
30 days−$61,229
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 53¢ 44¢ $1,591 $1,320 −$271 (-17%)
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 35¢ 26¢ $937 $714 −$223 (-24%)
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No 46¢ 52¢ $188 $210 +$23 (+12%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No 98¢ 99¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $261 $0 −$261 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $666 $0 −$666 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $261 −$261 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $221 −$221 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $666 −$666 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $231 −$231 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $326 −$326 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $265 −$265 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $190 −$190 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $502 −$502 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $487 −$487 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $449 −$449 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $319 −$319 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$7,103
sports 11% +$759
other 1% −$471
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $96 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $44 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $45 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $48 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $46 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-63.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 664 -63.3% -66.8% 19% 13% -50.7%
≤30d 666 -60.1% -63.9% 20% 14% -50.5%
≤90d 666 -60.1% -63.9% 20% 14% -50.5%
all 666 -60.1% -63.9% 20% 14% -50.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover470.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -63.9% 14% -50.5%
10% ← realistic here -67.3% 10% -55.2%
15% -70.5% 8% -59.5%
20% -73.4% 6% -63.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,261.09 · official $2,261.09 (match) · 3500 history records