Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:11:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2fa…f8d3
crypto · 194 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$7 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses86 / 104
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)190 / 194
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day40.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 190 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+257%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 30¢ 31¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 95¢ 84¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +266%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$3
other 2% +$1
politics 1% +$1
sports 0% +$3
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 6h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 -2.2% -11.5% 45% 45% -7.9%
≤30d 190 -2.2% -11.5% 45% 45% -7.9%
≤90d 190 -2.2% -11.5% 45% 45% -7.9%
all 190 -2.2% -11.5% 45% 45% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 45% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 45% -16.7%
15% -27.7% 44% -24.8%
20% -34.8% 44% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.53 · official $6.53 (match) · 294 history records