trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 43% | 43% | +2.9% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 44% | 44% | -5.4% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 39% | 39% | -11.2% |
| all | 31 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 39% | 39% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.6% | 39% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -24.6% | 39% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -31.9% | 39% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -38.5% | 35% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Over | 45¢ | 100¢ | $700 | $1,555 | +$855 (+122%) |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $1,000 | $976 | −$24 (-2%) |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $480 | $472 | −$9 (-2%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $250 | $240 | −$10 (-4%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $155 | $171 | +$16 (+10%) |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $100 | $94 | −$6 (-6%) |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $75 | −$25 (-25%) |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $150 | $72 | −$78 (-52%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $52 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $995 | +$1,279 | +129% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1,419 | −$1,390 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1,023 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $373 | −$364 | -98% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $444 | −$437 | -98% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $508 | +$534 | +105% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $606 | −$600 | -99% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $812 | +$819 | +101% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $409 | +$1,256 | +307% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $407 | −$400 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $335 | −$327 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $457 | +$284 | +62% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $406 | −$400 | -98% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Jun 15 | $1,906 | −$798 | -42% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $613 | +$1,530 | +250% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $304 | +$296 | +97% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $608 | +$503 | +83% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $307 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $660 | +$1,492 | +226% |
| Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) | Jun 06 | $600 | −$588 | -98% |
| Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5) | Jun 03 | $1,011 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +47% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Jun 03 | $576 | +$514 | +89% |
| Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $952 | +$997 | +105% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $175 | −$171 | -98% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | Apr 19 | $249 | −$244 | -98% |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $198 | −$198 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 04 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |