Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:43:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2ed…2a85
sports · 857 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$783 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$634 · open +$148
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,204
Realized+$634
Unrealized+$148
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses546 / 306
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$966
Open positions5
Markets (closed)852 / 857
History coverage119d
Avg bet$238
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 5 History 852 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$785
7 days−$223
14 days−$901
30 days−$1,158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 70¢ 100¢ $352 $500 +$147 (+42%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 69¢ 100¢ $172 $250 +$77 (+45%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 86¢ 84¢ $215 $209 −$6 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $176 $177 +$1 (+1%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June? Yes 70¢ 34¢ $140 $69 −$71 (-51%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $337 +$163 +48%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $123 −$123 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $113 −$113 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $215 −$215 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $176 −$176 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $184 −$184 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $116 −$116 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $247 −$247 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $318 −$318 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $457 +$93 +20%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $137 +$113 +83%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $63 +$37 +60%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $191 +$59 +31%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $68 +$32 +48%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $228 +$22 +10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$99 +49%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $149 +$51 +34%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $126 +$16 +12%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $84 +$16 +18%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $159 +$41 +26%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $143 +$29 +20%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $71 +$29 +42%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $96 +$104 +108%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $157 +$43 +27%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 11 $109 +$141 +129%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $214 +$136 +64%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $199 +$26 +13%
Nanterre vs. Monaco Jun 09 $89 +$11 +12%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $115 +$173 +151%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $93 +$107 +115%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June? Jun 09 $242 +$158 +65%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $544 +$56 +10%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $52 +$48 +91%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 08 $73 +$27 +38%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $155 +$45 +29%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $162 +$88 +55%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $245 +$105 +43%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $306 +$144 +47%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $153 +$47 +31%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $155 +$95 +61%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $225 +$124 +55%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $164 +$186 +113%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $273 +$127 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$566
other 7% +$131
crypto 2% +$547
world 2% +$843
finance 1% −$302
culture 0% +$189
tech 0% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $216 18m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $159 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $196 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $172 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $164 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $169 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $177 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 80¢ $36 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 80¢ $4 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 80¢ $4 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 80¢ $156 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 70¢ $176 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 82¢ $82 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 69¢ $69 16h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $123 16h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 54¢ $137 16h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 86¢ $27 16h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 86¢ $112 16h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 86¢ $27 16h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 86¢ $49 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 76¢ $191 17h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $55 28h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $175 28h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 62¢ $63 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $81 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $60 38h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 91¢ $225 38h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 91¢ $3 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $2 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -11.0% -19.5% 59% 53% -11.1%
≤30d 280 -3.2% -12.5% 61% 55% -11.6%
≤90d 648 +1.5% -8.1% 64% 57% -11.3%
all 852 +2.2% -7.6% 64% 58% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 58% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 47% -17.9%
15% -24.5% 35% -25.9%
20% -31.9% 24% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,204.35 · official $1,204.38 (match) · 3500 history records