Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B2
0xb2eb…75fe
crypto · 495 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$92 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$89 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$212
Realized+$89
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses295 / 186
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions14
Markets (closed)481 / 495
Avg bet$22
Trades / day76.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 14 History 481 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days−$80
14 days+$89
30 days+$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $25 $28 +$3 (+14%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+11%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 81¢ 81¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 72¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 68¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? No 96¢ 97¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 67¢ 69¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Over 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 92¢ 92¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $10 +$3 +27%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $13 +$7 +51%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$132
sports 29% +$314
other 3% −$89
world 0% $0
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 58m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 338 -5.7% -14.7% 65% 45% -9.3%
≤30d 481 -4.9% -14.0% 61% 44% -8.0%
≤90d 481 -4.9% -14.0% 61% 44% -8.0%
all 481 -4.9% -14.0% 61% 44% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 44% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 28% -16.8%
15% -29.7% 16% -24.8%
20% -36.6% 9% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $212.13 · official $211.89 (match) · 1281 history records